
One of the tenets of Portfolio Risk Management is “Don’t put all your eggs in one basket”. This is known in the financial management industry as “Unsystematic” or Company-Specific risk. It’s the risk you are assuming when you hold a concentrated position in a single company, and that company faces financial troubles due to a change in consumer taste, leadership changes, scandals, or lawsuit. So, what’s a concentrated position? Conventional wisdom advises that you have a ‘yellow light’ once a single company makes up 5 percent of your investments, and you have a ‘red light’ at 10 percent.
Now that we’ve established this, lets look at today’s composition of the S&P 500, represented in TSP by the large company ‘C’ Fund.The top seven companies make up almost 30 percent of the S&P 500 / C Fund:
- Microsoft (MSFT) – 6.74%
- Apple (AAPL) – 6.17%
- Nvidia (NVDA) – 6.00%
- Amazon (AMZN) – 3.73%
- Meta (META) – 2.74%
- Broadcom (AVGO) – 2.01%
- Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) – 1.99%
- Alphabet Class A (GOOGL) – 1.85%
- Alphabet Class C (GOOG) – 1.51%
The ‘C’ in C Fund stands for ‘Concentration Risk’
Need some recent examples?- Remember what happened to nVidia stock during the early 2025 news about China’s DeepSeek AI product? It tanked more than 17 percent overnight.
- Also, Apple just announced it expects Google to re-evaluate the $20 Billion per year it pays Apple to make Google Search the default search engine on iPhones. People are shifting over their search preferences from Google to AI-based products like ChatGPT or Microsoft CoPilot. In fact, Google searches on Apple devices dropped for the first time on record last month.
- $20 Billion per year is a LOT of revenue to lose, even for Apple and Google.
So, what should you do in your TSP or 401k?
Consider diluting your concentrated positions in the “S&P Five” by adding some of the “I” Fund to your portfolio. You can do this on your own, or use a Target Date Fund like a TSP Lifecycle fund to spread-out your holdings. You could even use the TSP Mutual Fund Window and pick out some low-cost Utility, REIT, or Value index funds to try and dilute your positions in the “S&P Five”.Just know that right now…
The ‘C’ in C Fund stands for ‘Concentration Risk’
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